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Textbook Site for:
Principles of Macroeconomics, Third Edition
John B. Taylor, Stanford University
Web Links
Chapter 10: The Nature and Causes of Economic Fluctuations


Online macroeconomic econometric models
This page contains links to a few online econometric models that can be used to generate forecasts of macroeconomic variables.

The Livingston Survey
This page contains the results from a survey of economists' expectations about output, unemployment, and inflation. The survey was begun by Joseph A. Livingston in 1946 and has been conducted by the Philadelphia Fed since 1990.

Macroeconomic statistics and data sites
This page contains links to sites that provide online data on macroeconomic data (such as GDP, C, I, G, and X).

John Maynard Keynes
This page contains links to online resources on John Maynard Keynes, the developer of the theory of the consumption function, the expenditure model, and the multiplier.

Survey of Professional Forecasters
A quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts begun in 1968 by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. Since 1990, it has been conducted by the Philadelphia Fed.

Robert E. Lucas
Information about Robert E. Lucas and his work on rational expectations theory.

Not the Final Exam
An amusing quiz that asks somewhat unusual questions about economists who have made an important contribution to the literature. This link is included here because question 5 provides an interesting example of rational expectations at work.

Thomas J. Sargent - an Interview
This interview with Thomas J. Sargent, one of the founders of the new classical school of macroeconomics, was printed by the Minneapolis Fed in December, 1989. It contains a good discussion of Sargent's views on the contributions of the rational expectations hypothesis.




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