1. Business Cycles and AD/AS
In Chapter 9 we learned how changes in aggregate
demand (
AD) and aggregate supply (
AS)
are associated with business cycle fluctuations. An increase (decrease) in
AD should be expansionary (contractionary) with rising
(falling) GDP and prices. An increase (decrease) in
AS should
be expansionary (contractionary) with rising (falling) GDP and falling (rising)
prices. The length of expansions and contractions is determined by the size
and duration of shifts in
AD and
AS.
We can see the history of U.S. business cycle fluctuations by going to National
Bureau of Economic Research's
U.S.
Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions at
http://www.nber.org/cycles.html. This will provide historical data on U.S. business cycles.
The table gives the length (in months) of contractions
and expansions. Bold italic numbers are associated with wartimes. Use the
information in the table to answer the following questions:
-
What dates are associated with the
longest and shortest contractions on record?
-
What dates are associated with the
longest and shortest expansions on record?
-
Are data on the periods of expansion
or contraction in output sufficient to identify whether the periods are dominated
by AD shifts or AS shifts?
What else, if anything, would you have to know?
2. AD/AS Analysis and the U.S. Economy
Examine the analysis of recent changes in GDP
provided by the
Bureau
of Economic Analysis at
http://www.bea.gov/bea/newsreel/gdpnewsrelease.htm.
-
What shifts in aggregate demand or
short-run aggregate supply were responsible for the most recently reported
changes in GDP?
-
For each factor listed, explain why
it would cause the AD or AS curve
to shift.